Olympics · resolved market
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad98d277747a5af33029daa93d8921e20dc48fc43a13444b34abd5db3090419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 12c | 17,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 14,093$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 7,378$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.63 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 0c | 5,741$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,603$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 39c | 4,445$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 2,916$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.23 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,375$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 65c | 2,236$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 67c | 2,155$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…f189backed Yes | 59c | 1,842$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 76c | 1,712$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 13c | 1,561$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 52c | 1,243$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…642cbacked No | 18c | 1,096$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Yes | 68c | 1,074$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 29c | 1,069$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 30c | 1,061$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 15c | 1,007$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 23c | 854.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes | 33c | 800$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 61c | 770.04$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 54c | 752.59$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 27c | 732.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 71c | 703.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed No | 58c | 688.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 49c | 652.68$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 24c | 634.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 63c | 620.27$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…0e1dbacked No | 26c | 582.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 552.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.58 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 74c | 537.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked Yes | 17c | 536.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 65c | 536$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed No | 29c | 527.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2d…be6cbacked Yes | 79c | 514.15$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 72c | 503.93$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 11c | 496.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 45c | 469.95$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 52c | 406.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Yes | 73c | 402.65$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…7f63backed No | 39c | 303.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…e56bbacked Yes | 75c | 282.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 71c | 281.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 31c | 254.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 60c | 251.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…80adbacked Yes | 26c | 249.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…04b5backed Yes | 78c | 240.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6eabbacked Yes | 75c | 227.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 11c | 218.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 33c | 206.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…6527backed Yes | 56c | 195.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…b30bbacked Yes | 75c | 192.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 80c | 184.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes | 55c | 180.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 29c | 176.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 174.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…0158backed Yes | 31c | 160.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 157.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…4f87backed Yes | 75c | 150.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes | 76c | 149.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 46c | 134.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 56c | 130.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 128.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…52c6backed Yes | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…4914backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 29c | 113.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 110.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…6a25backed Yes | 75c | 108.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…af2cbacked No | 13c | 106.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Yes | 72c | 106.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…bb52backed No | 49c | 102.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Yes | 65c | 100.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…30c6backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…adb4backed Yes | 70c | 93.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked No | 37c | 89.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…8a09backed Yes | 60c | 84.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 59c | 83.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 74c | 82.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 37c | 81.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 22c | 78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Yes | 74c | 70.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…7b8bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…1627backed Yes | 75c | 63.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…63ccbacked Yes | 74c | 63.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…4504backed Yes | 71c | 60.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…3e66backed Yes | 27c | 60.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed Yes | 77c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 31c | 56.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…094abacked Yes | 36c | 56.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Yes | 75c | 56.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.