Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafc6b93f7eab35ca46eac426c8e66700d3182d26c976865d1f9c1932b790daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,554 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc26…b177backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 45c | 3,707$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.17 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 3c | 3,636$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 3,210$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.35 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 65c | 2,554$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.52 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 75c | 1,827$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…cf12backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…8bd9backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…f9afbacked Yes | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…9141backed Yes | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…f406backed Yes | 31c | 1,555$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 61c | 1,403$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.37 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 40c | 1,200$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed No | 52c | 1,174$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 57c | 1,162$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.99 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 48c | 1,067$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…afffbacked No | 69c | 869$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…ace3backed No | 69c | 867$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…67c1backed No | 69c | 866$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…b54fbacked No | 69c | 855$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 35c | 850$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…f5b3backed No | 69c | 850$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 34c | 844.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.53 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…fb37backed Yes | 61c | 831.58$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +146%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 66c | 818.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.74 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…f0cbbacked No | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 23c | 725.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.11 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…5186backed No | 69c | 725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…3af8backed No | 69c | 725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…959fbacked No | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…91efbacked No | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 61c | 599.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 43c | 490.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 30c | 465.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.71 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 36c | 458.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 55c | 457.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 39c | 444.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.03 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 30c | 443.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 62c | 419.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 17c | 418.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 29c | 389.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 58c | 375$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 48c | 359.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 20c | 350.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 51c | 349.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 25c | 335.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.52 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 318$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 311.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 30c | 308.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 304.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Yes | 38c | 300$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 16c | 298$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 73c | 295.68$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 294.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 35c | 288.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 46c | 282.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 22c | 279.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 16c | 274$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 53c | 242.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 55c | 236.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…a567backed Yes | 28c | 225.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 221$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed No | 45c | 219.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 80c | 217.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…bcfbbacked No | 78c | 210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 24c | 200.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…2c3ebacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…90a4backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed No | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…dcdebacked No | 54c | 198.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 62c | 196.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 599 | 27%162 W · 437 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 191 | 41.4%79 W · 112 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 39c | 185.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 20c | 184.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…52afbacked Yes | 68c | 183.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 183.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked No | 42c | 176.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…ecd2backed Yes | 52c | 176.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…1022backed Yes | 44c | 166$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 36c | 161.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…69a2backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 51c | 154.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 149.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…5bfcbacked Yes | 39c | 145$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 143.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f8…b82fbacked Yes | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…00a1backed Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…28c0backed Yes | 57c | 137.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Yes | 36c | 137.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 46c | 135.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.