Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5048059030b1b6f73783f63ebe091a7a8d1c2a62cdcacfc6c05d12595609cb36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,469 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 3,770$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 6c | 1,224$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…250dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,101$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 5c | 1,057$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 6c | 964.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 6c | 877.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed Yes | 6c | 852.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 10c | 848.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 8c | 821.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 4c | 768.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 13c | 742.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…a567backed Yes | 10c | 681.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 9c | 636.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 570.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 6c | 549.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 547.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…3acfbacked Yes | 4c | 522.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 21c | 485.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 5c | 484.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 9c | 467.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 420.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 13c | 359.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 78c | 349.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 20c | 346.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 12c | 317.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 7c | 300.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 19.5%52 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 16c | 293.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 13c | 286.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…b245backed Yes | 7c | 267.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 261.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…c1acbacked Yes | 14c | 214.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 18c | 199.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 14c | 195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 6c | 188.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 6c | 187.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 180.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 163$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…aa1dbacked Yes | 15c | 131.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 12c | 125.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 111.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…ecd2backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 107.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 19c | 106.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked Yes | 24c | 102.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 12c | 94.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…c703backed Yes | 13c | 91.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 24c | 80.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 191 | 41.4%79 W · 112 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 77c | 72.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 24c | 54.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 77c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…cb6bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.