Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c74e9ab5383ddb3b7350e515beeecdc905078c58bc46d926d655fc9c1cbf43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb09e…4126backed Yes | 2c | 8,585$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…9eb8backed Yes | 2c | 3,602$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 3,526$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 1c | 2,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,527$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 5c | 975.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…250dbacked Yes | 10c | 958.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 18c | 898$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 18c | 867$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 18c | 859$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 4c | 688.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes | 8c | 651.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 626.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 522.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 9c | 490.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 16c | 447.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 13c | 414.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 20c | 391.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 349.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 335$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96eb…7ca6backed Yes | 8c | 319.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 240.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 226.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 8c | 223.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 17c | 182.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 21c | 104.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…91e1backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 21c | 94.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…c1acbacked Yes | 15c | 78.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 65.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 63.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…bd17backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 79c | 45.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…d3d5backed Yes | 22c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 80c | 39.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.