Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a5a494421118bb08208b2c86b948391696ce6d1f1613bd941ed27fa4367b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof Virtus Bologna, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Virtus Bologna | 80c | 2,463$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 2,372$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.44 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 45c | 1,962$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.39 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Virtus Bologna | 70c | 1,730$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtus Bologna | 26c | 1,691$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.81 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 70c | 1,532$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.39 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 62c | 1,213$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.22 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 1,206$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.57 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.08 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 61c | 1,001$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 1,000$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.62 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 11c | 579$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 538.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 491.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 430$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Virtus Bologna | 79c | 409$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 403.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 338.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 333.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Virtus Bologna | 52c | 327.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Virtus Bologna | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 304.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 52c | 252$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Virtus Bologna | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…0789backed Virtus Bologna | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 77c | 193.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 178.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3810…a252backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 155$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Virtus Bologna | 55c | 154.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 58c | 152.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 149.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…8995backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 146$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Virtus Bologna | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 127.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Virtus Bologna | 59c | 119.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 45c | 111.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…26b1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 101$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…eb13backed Virtus Bologna | 78c | 90$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus Bologna | 62c | 76.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…f066backed Virtus Bologna | 80c | 76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…e02abacked Virtus Bologna | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 69.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Virtus Bologna | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 62.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked Virtus Bologna | 80c | 61.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Virtus Bologna | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…df49backed Virtus Bologna | 78c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 52.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…7bdcbacked Virtus Bologna | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…b5f8backed Virtus Bologna | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Virtus Bologna | 38c | 46.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 46.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Virtus Bologna | 60c | 45.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Virtus Bologna | 78c | 44.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 76c | 43.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…2848backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 42.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Virtus Bologna | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Virtus Bologna | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Virtus Bologna | 79c | 27.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Virtus Bologna | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Virtus Bologna | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.