TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac3…3c8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Olympics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.88
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.2
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Gina Feistelbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.47
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.59
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$13.29
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5)backed Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Grass Court Championships: Suzan Lamens vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.66
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Tatjana Maria vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$13.91
Oeiras 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.33
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$16.68
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.14
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$12.29
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$16.54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.08
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.07
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizanbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Fenerbahce vs. Partizanbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.08
Virtus Bologna vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizanbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Valenciabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.59
Real Madrid vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$4.88
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.9%+$12.92
Real Madrid vs. Barcelonabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$17.27
Barcelona vs. Partizanbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.63
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.87
Real Madrid vs. BC Dubaibacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.6%+$4.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.89
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$43.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$7.43
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.