Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afe4ebd1a13459994c669e81dc469923a095d6cb0d01953e96fc7ba0d1534a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 25c | 71,700$17,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,924.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 31,940$23,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,010.03 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 75c | 22,221$16,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 75c | 20,896$15,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 26c | 20,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.91 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 25c | 19,433$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.31 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 25c | 16,748$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.26 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 25c | 15,298$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.4 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 25c | 14,800$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.96 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 14,164$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.27 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 25c | 13,400$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 24c | 10,388$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 6c | 9,792$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 75c | 7,233$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 75c | 5,825$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.77 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 5,715$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.78 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 74c | 5,645$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.19 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,238$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 25c | 5,113$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 77c | 5,079$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.87 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 25c | 4,650$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 4,047$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 18c | 3,900$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 25c | 3,846$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.24 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 74c | 3,616$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 76c | 3,553$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 75c | 3,152$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 26c | 3,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 23c | 2,959$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 2,881$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 25c | 2,600$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,560$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,544$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 26c | 2,504$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.93 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 24c | 2,400$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 75c | 2,314$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 26c | 2,164$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,145$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 75c | 1,953$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 16c | 1,830$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Yes | 75c | 1,676$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 25c | 1,585$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 1,527$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 75c | 1,499$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 1,437$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.64 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes | 75c | 1,436$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 26c | 1,370$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.87 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 25c | 1,340$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 75c | 1,334$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 5c | 1,107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 5c | 1,090$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 74c | 999.97$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…45e0backed No | 5c | 989.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 25c | 946$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…0dbcbacked Yes | 75c | 882.39$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 75c | 858.67$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 26c | 855.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 75c | 833.36$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked No | 11c | 776.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 77c | 755$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…54c1backed Yes | 75c | 748.34$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 76c | 745.93$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 75c | 728.25$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 7c | 700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 75c | 693.39$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 689.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 75c | 603.39$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.