TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes10c72,942$7,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,294.2210443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes10c25,010$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.0414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…a9acbacked Yes0c19,090$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e8…14cdbacked Yes11c7,035$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes10c6,521$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.3243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes11c5,850$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.481811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes10c5,213$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes10c3,400$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+157.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6a…45e0backed Yes3c2,288$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.092030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes10c2,221$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.119332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes10c2,170$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2175630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes10c1,932$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Yes1c1,809$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.232339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+110.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Yes11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes10c1,800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Yes5c1,429$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Yes10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes9c1,073$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9813927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes1c1,069$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes4c962.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes10c942.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2917426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fb…37d1backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes11c905.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.594332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes9c899.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.944238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes11c667.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes10c612.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.213931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d2…df98backed Yes11c554.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes10c495$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes10c484.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2d…1cf4backed Yes10c460$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…ce88backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8660…7a93backed Yes11c436$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes11c429$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x871b…8055backed Yes11c348.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes3c346.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6465…1affbacked Yes11c334.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…52b2backed Yes11c323.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+108.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0868…c04bbacked Yes11c282.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes11c281.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes11c281.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9912644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbff…bf7fbacked Yes11c265.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb423…f3a3backed Yes4c250.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+147.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…6938backed Yes11c224.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes10c210.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.055724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6e…2259backed Yes5c200.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4943…dd33backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes11c185.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.435228.8%15 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f1…d4f0backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204615.2%7 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d064backed Yes11c176.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes11c172.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Yes11c147.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81d…47fdbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb27…14f9backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes11c131.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Yes11c128.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e1d…0fc8backed Yes10c127.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes10c126.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Yes9c110$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25b…4ce4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f0…98f4backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a0a…efbcbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.