Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae0b3c603f49b8e4ffb05a1bcacad6fdca7881f34ca17daaf2351e6f3ebd3da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Partizan | 15c | 69,087$10,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,363.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Partizan | 14c | 24,455$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Partizan | 14c | 6,164$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.11 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Partizan | 19c | 5,363$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Partizan | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Partizan | 14c | 4,723$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.58 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 13c | 3,059$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.68 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Partizan | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 15c | 2,246$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Partizan | 14c | 1,940$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Partizan | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Partizan | 15c | 1,469$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 15c | 1,400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Partizan | 16c | 628.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Partizan | 15c | 600.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Partizan | 17c | 600$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Partizan | 14c | 549.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Partizan | 14c | 539.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Partizan | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Partizan | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Partizan | 15c | 481.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barcelona | 80c | 445$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Partizan | 16c | 400.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Partizan | 15c | 346.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Barcelona | 77c | 340.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Partizan | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…7572backed Partizan | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Partizan | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Partizan | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…e8d4backed Partizan | 16c | 267.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Barcelona | 71c | 247.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Partizan | 14c | 227.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 14c | 213.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Partizan | 31c | 195.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Partizan | 16c | 187.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Partizan | 18c | 181.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Partizan | 16c | 179.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Partizan | 16c | 175.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Partizan | 16c | 175.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Partizan | 16c | 162.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…5e2dbacked Partizan | 16c | 153.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Partizan | 15c | 151.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Partizan | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Barcelona | 79c | 148$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barcelona | 80c | 131.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Partizan | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Partizan | 15c | 107.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Partizan | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Partizan | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Partizan | 17c | 100.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Partizan | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Barcelona | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…3161backed Barcelona | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…6848backed Partizan | 15c | 86.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Barcelona | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Partizan | 16c | 74.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Partizan | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Partizan | 22c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Partizan | 15c | 69.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Partizan | 15c | 66.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Partizan | 17c | 66.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Barcelona | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Barcelona | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Barcelona | 78c | 24.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Barcelona | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.