Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf24f34a119e7fb315afc6a9f2984c520e228dacb6d450f196cebd9cc2bd12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Barcelona | 38c | 9,229$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 5,643$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.87 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Real Madrid | 64c | 5,511$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Barcelona | 37c | 4,634$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 79c | 4,245$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.53 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 36c | 3,272$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.01 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…e946backed Barcelona | 21c | 2,286$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Barcelona | 31c | 1,622$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Real Madrid | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Real Madrid | 67c | 1,485$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 62c | 1,343$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 65c | 862.76$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Barcelona | 30c | 777.1$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Madrid | 62c | 635$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Barcelona | 17c | 466.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…642dbacked Barcelona | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Real Madrid | 67c | 433.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Barcelona | 36c | 427.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Barcelona | 28c | 427.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 35c | 354.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Barcelona | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 66c | 208$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Barcelona | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Real Madrid | 64c | 193.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Real Madrid | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Barcelona | 25c | 160.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…487dbacked Barcelona | 42c | 151.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Barcelona | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Real Madrid | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Real Madrid | 79c | 139.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Real Madrid | 8c | 132.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Barcelona | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Real Madrid | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +364.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Real Madrid | 65c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…417ebacked Barcelona | 62c | 93.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barcelona | 32c | 93.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Real Madrid | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Barcelona | 35c | 86.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Barcelona | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barcelona | 35c | 76.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 71.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Barcelona | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Real Madrid | 59c | 70.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Barcelona | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Real Madrid | 73c | 36.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Real Madrid | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Barcelona | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 36c | 29.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Real Madrid | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Barcelona | 36c | 27.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Barcelona | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0279backed Real Madrid | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Real Madrid | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.