Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbac6289398434b6a20abc78c2bfe39e6161f6b54a35c75f68a056b39123636c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1287…ca08backed Fenerbahce | 79c | 2,163$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Partizan | 29c | 1,696$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.51 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Partizan | 35c | 1,126$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Partizan | 16c | 933.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Partizan | 21c | 885.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 850.37$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Partizan | 28c | 822.07$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fenerbahce | 70c | 765.97$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.36 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahce | 75c | 662.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 581.43$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Partizan | 27c | 442.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Fenerbahce | 71c | 428.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Partizan | 35c | 372.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Partizan | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Partizan | 13c | 330$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Partizan | 17c | 323.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Partizan | 17c | 288$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Fenerbahce | 67c | 252.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 17c | 224.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 17c | 206.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Partizan | 25c | 204.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Fenerbahce | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 18c | 199.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Partizan | 18c | 169.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Partizan | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fenerbahce | 79c | 156.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Partizan | 18c | 149.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Fenerbahce | 70c | 143.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Partizan | 19c | 131.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Partizan | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Partizan | 27c | 124.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Partizan | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Partizan | 17c | 103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fenerbahce | 76c | 100.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Partizan | 20c | 98.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…beadbacked Partizan | 22c | 86.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Fenerbahce | 58c | 86.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…5203backed Partizan | 20c | 85.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Partizan | 18c | 81.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked Partizan | 38c | 64.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Partizan | 29c | 63.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Fenerbahce | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…e2f8backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 37.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Fenerbahce | 66c | 33.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Fenerbahce | 70c | 26.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Fenerbahce | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…3072backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Fenerbahce | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.