Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad834422e29eb4dab3939085d4273f90e9d4fbf6e15ad18cf078627654fdc969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked BC Dubai | 26c | 5,823$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 5,000$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.15 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid | 60c | 3,232$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.81 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed BC Dubai | 45c | 2,500$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BC Dubai | 37c | 2,187$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.42 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked Real Madrid | 66c | 1,490$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 63c | 1,408$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.54 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed BC Dubai | 42c | 1,285$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 75c | 1,246$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.56 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed BC Dubai | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 67c | 909$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.26 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed BC Dubai | 24c | 809.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 76c | 614.73$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked BC Dubai | 23c | 613.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Real Madrid | 37c | 587.81$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Real Madrid | 47c | 530$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked BC Dubai | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…f902backed Real Madrid | 62c | 482.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed BC Dubai | 31c | 463.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed BC Dubai | 36c | 417.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed BC Dubai | 47c | 405.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BC Dubai | 31c | 398.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Real Madrid | 78c | 326.01$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Real Madrid | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Real Madrid | 66c | 252.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC Dubai | 47c | 245.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked BC Dubai | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Real Madrid | 73c | 191.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…1c85backed Real Madrid | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed BC Dubai | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Real Madrid | 60c | 154.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BC Dubai | 22c | 149.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Real Madrid | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC Dubai | 39c | 129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Real Madrid | 60c | 125.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Real Madrid | 60c | 112.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 65c | 103.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Real Madrid | 77c | 102.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid | 77c | 100.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Real Madrid | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed BC Dubai | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Real Madrid | 32c | 77.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed BC Dubai | 30c | 65.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…008dbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BC Dubai | 24c | 64.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed BC Dubai | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed BC Dubai | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Real Madrid | 56c | 42.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Real Madrid | 65c | 40.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked BC Dubai | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed BC Dubai | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Real Madrid | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Real Madrid | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…3566backed Real Madrid | 77c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Real Madrid | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Real Madrid | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Real Madrid | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.