Champions League · resolved market
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8d4004f0626e76e59731fbeee7e00b530fc54e11838e348ef90a0d4819cbc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 58c | 2,941$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.13 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 2,353$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.37 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 2,291$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 1,831$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.66 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 1,232$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 1,122$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.24 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 1,041$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 844.67$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 42c | 786$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 50c | 767.36$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 698.46$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 666$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 536$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 486.21$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 432.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 409.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 28c | 380$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 369.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 28c | 361.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 36c | 339.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 42c | 298$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 268.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 256$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 72c | 221.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 27c | 193.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Under | 43c | 188.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 72c | 153.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 48c | 132.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 46c | 89.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 88.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Over | 80c | 68.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 63.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 52c | 58.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Over | 66c | 51.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 27c | 44.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 32.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Under | 42c | 27.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Over | 66c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 69c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Team to AdvanceFK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.