Champions League · resolved market
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5523bfd60556270a398bc87258bfcde63191c0455e5e7adfe9f4f78197bd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,910$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.2 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,712$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.43 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 704.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 659.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 499.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 65c | 465.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 438.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 63c | 321.43$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 37c | 238.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 238.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 209.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 65c | 172.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 76c | 158.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 17c | 143.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 128$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 126.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 34c | 91.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 35c | 45.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 36c | 44.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 67c | 43.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 68c | 39.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 38.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 64c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 61c | 27.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 72c | 26.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked No | 65c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Team to AdvanceFK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.