Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85236e3d46748c33997479ed102a2ac550e9465c9524f25a6502bdc5cacc1c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 3,415$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.95 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 2,560$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Anadolu Efes | 18c | 2,420$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 1,789$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 1,693$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.71 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Anadolu Efes | 30c | 1,692$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Anadolu Efes | 32c | 1,667$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 34c | 1,166$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.01 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 1,038$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 47c | 942.29$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 813$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 43c | 784.11$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.45 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 753.17$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 734.88$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 50c | 723.51$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Anadolu Efes | 49c | 619.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 552.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Anadolu Efes | 31c | 486.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 437.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 258.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 248.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 217.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 216.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 199.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 197$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 189.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…6058backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 188$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 158.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 153.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Anadolu Efes | 17c | 149.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 141.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 112.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 97.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 36c | 90.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 86.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 72.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Anadolu Efes | 16c | 64.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Anadolu Efes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 47.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 42.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 39.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 35.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.