TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus Bolognaof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Virtus Bologna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba5…8e17backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c6,621$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virtus Bologna26c2,383$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.5612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Virtus Bologna27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4601050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Virtus Bologna70c1,913$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4413235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Virtus Bologna59c1,749$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.046744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Virtus Bologna27c1,531$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.114042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Virtus Bologna69c1,420$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.2337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv29c1,273$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1714037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Virtus Bologna27c1,137$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.412835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…90febacked Virtus Bologna27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Virtus Bologna27c999.19$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c993$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Maccabi Tel Aviv74c986.94$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Virtus Bologna26c890$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Virtus Bologna27c886.59$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Virtus Bologna27c873.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.7213147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c820.24$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.782075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Virtus Bologna41c607.54$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.21944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Virtus Bologna62c499.3$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8413220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv74c492.2$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.235545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…811dbacked Virtus Bologna28c478.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus Bologna29c467.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9513545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Virtus Bologna27c400.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.142133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Virtus Bologna46c397.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6821535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Virtus Bologna25c394.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.952227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Virtus Bologna39c380.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.765642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Virtus Bologna26c356.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.772536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna34c323.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna42c300.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.136939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2193855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv71c275.06$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.291315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-77.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv74c264.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9210663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c247.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Virtus Bologna42c245.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0826935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Virtus Bologna27c212.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.128247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c201.64$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.21735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Virtus Bologna27c195.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv71c184.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8918144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv53c172.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…4789backed Maccabi Tel Aviv60c161.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna50c158.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Virtus Bologna41c149.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus Bologna48c135.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.286470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Maccabi Tel Aviv74c133.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.442075%15 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv74c133.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.441855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Maccabi Tel Aviv22c127.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.065152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Virtus Bologna26c115.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Virtus Bologna26c108.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.942040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d7…3ed2backed Virtus Bologna27c106.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Maccabi Tel Aviv74c102.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.745240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Virtus Bologna65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Maccabi Tel Aviv67c94.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2128943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c90.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv44c89.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Virtus Bologna26c86.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+175.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc4…b91ebacked Virtus Bologna27c70.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Virtus Bologna27c70.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.716233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv74c66.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.222564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv32c66.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.181428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv62c55.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6819748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c50.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Virtus Bologna26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Virtus Bologna25c49.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.055453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Virtus Bologna32c48.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.296119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Virtus Bologna24c47.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.93839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Virtus Bologna26c46.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ecb…2e4fbacked Virtus Bologna27c46.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv43c44.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Virtus Bologna72c41.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv74c39.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Virtus Bologna27c37.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Virtus Bologna74c34.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Virtus Bologna56c33.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Maccabi Tel Aviv62c32.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.915565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv72c31.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.633348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Virtus Bologna46c29.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1620936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…c033backed Maccabi Tel Aviv80c27.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Maccabi Tel Aviv75c26.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv75c26.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…6b96backed Maccabi Tel Aviv71c20.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Maccabi Tel Aviv53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv66c19.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8824430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…13c5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c17.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…f8a0backed Virtus Bologna78c16.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5736…fdbabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv74c14.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.