TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fc4…b91e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+342.2%+$479.12
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.75
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+366.6%+$47.66
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$11.75
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$26.54
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuanbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.65
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$35.87
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+257.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$18.52
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$30.64
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.