Tennis · resolved market

Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a70d83a77fff45f817b884809a5d49b2d96dafd892d62a8f3e21c4f2d5d6232

Rebuilt 21 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $405,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,684 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	36,164$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.97	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4879…5547backed Yes	3c	32,313$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…8f7fbacked Yes	0c	26,346$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes	0c	24,998$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.49	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Yes	2c	24,057$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	460	30.4%140 W · 320 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	0c	21,786$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	15,782$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	13,071$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.76	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	0c	10,623$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,075$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.21	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes	0c	7,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	0c	7,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	165	29.1%48 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2506…93cabacked Yes	0c	7,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes	2c	6,914$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.28	868	35.4%307 W · 561 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Yes	1c	6,176$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.52	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+6.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,022$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.14	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes	0c	5,710$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9b…2081backed Yes	1c	5,692$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf18…17b5backed Yes	4c	5,668$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes	3c	5,000$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	1.8%1 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52dc…7138backed Yes	0c	3,647$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	4c	3,643$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.24	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	0c	3,023$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes	0c	2,486$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	0c	2,385$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	82	8.5%7 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b14…3e42backed Yes	2c	2,156$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	2,074$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	1c	1,963$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3348…c9f4backed Yes	1c	1,785$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5e…017cbacked Yes	1c	1,758$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc144…f7bfbacked Yes	1c	1,290$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43bd…71a8backed Yes	1c	1,259$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeaa…82b0backed Yes	1c	1,158$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1200…b626backed Yes	1c	1,152$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes	2c	874.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	35%43 W · 80 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484a…4d2abacked Yes	1c	774.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes	3c	741$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	4c	614.87$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes	3c	604.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	2c	581.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes	4c	557.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	3c	550.37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	3c	544.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	3c	490.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes	5c	437.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf73…c384backed Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	4c	299.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	254	33.5%85 W · 169 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes	4c	288.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc4…b91ebacked Yes	5c	279.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Yes	4c	264.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event