TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$810,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes1c194,565$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.5276546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c42,540$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c34,715$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.57933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Yes3c25,500$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes2c24,548$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1723731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes1c18,228$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes3c17,504$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Yes3c16,333$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1411129.7%33 W · 78 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c14,002$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0122723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…c0a4backed Yes3c12,367$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.581513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c11,211$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes0c11,124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.495129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Yes3c10,300$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes2c10,123$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c10,061$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.241163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9879…47dcbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked Yes2c9,000$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.832550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c7,369$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.559013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes3c7,230$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.664816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…5c3bbacked Yes4c6,757$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes3c6,714$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.991,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes3c6,568$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.75541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes3c6,208$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.67224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes3c5,543$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2506…93cabacked Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd94…7f44backed Yes3c5,222$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd18…0e39backed Yes1c5,213$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes3c5,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6088…27b4backed Yes1c4,958$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes1c4,246$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0e…3e09backed Yes2c4,170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick24cpaid-15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5efb…8392backed Yes3c4,095$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9aa…7bcebacked Yes3c3,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc5…4e9fbacked Yes3c3,504$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes3c3,217$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.842623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c3,194$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.652,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd475…043ebacked Yes1c3,149$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes3c3,029$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2470%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes3c2,386$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Yes3c2,223$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes3c2,143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes4c2,115$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes0c2,039$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes3c2,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes1c1,731$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7780%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b4…0ababacked Yes3c1,696$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ae…4b60backed Yes1c1,529$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes2c1,511$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes1c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes3c1,493$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes3c1,462$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36e…b100backed Yes1c1,434$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88b…0cbfbacked Yes3c1,380$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed5…7672backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a88…7190backed Yes3c1,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes1c1,108$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,086$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…48fdbacked Yes2c1,065$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f2…5990backed Yes3c1,034$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d3…70d8backed Yes2c1,013$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0605…1593backed Yes2c1,005$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…3c54backed Yes2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5c…6362backed Yes3c731.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1463…ce78backed Yes2c730.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191e…a7d4backed Yes3c722.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes2c585.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes3c571.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061341.8%256 W · 357 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…ffc9backed Yes3c553.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes5c540.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes3c519.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.713138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…77a2backed Yes3c436.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd0…9812backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick18cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x892b…6721backed Yes3c379.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…0450backed Yes3c350$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.