Tennis · resolved market

Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd40d3e209f7707656b997da1a449e20adca9eedade08b138345a2587ebb4e84

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $354,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $95,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes	1c	51,951$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	294	43.5%128 W · 166 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f08…ead2backed Yes	0c	51,265$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.6	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	1c	24,734$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.82	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	1c	13,103$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	1c	12,462$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.39	165	29.1%48 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	12,301$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.01	226	23.9%54 W · 172 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	10,514$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.27	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes	1c	10,338$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.12	450	36%162 W · 288 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	1c	9,859$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.61	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes	0c	8,616$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	99	6.1%6 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	7,757$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…f1b9backed Yes	1c	7,273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3674…2fc6backed Yes	1c	6,200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+314.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe383…883abacked Yes	1c	5,906$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	1c	5,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes	1c	5,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	1.8%1 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes	1c	4,862$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	1c	4,286$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	1c	4,211$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	277	39%108 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed Yes	1c	3,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Yes	1c	3,030$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Yes	1c	2,916$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	1c	2,839$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes	1c	2,741$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6766…b923backed Yes	1c	2,401$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	1c	2,192$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes	1c	2,186$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-94.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8451…f536backed Yes	1c	1,842$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,707$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2038…0f01backed Yes	1c	1,661$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	1c	1,422$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event