TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes7c81,378$6,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,064.868743.7%38 W · 49 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c32,075$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7522623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes2c18,757$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.434816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes7c17,696$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.532152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes3c15,000$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.732218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c14,624$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.55504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes4c11,075$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7786635.5%307 W · 559 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes3c10,091$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.439134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes6c10,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64011154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes3c9,645$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.232119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c9,174$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.95933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c7,647$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes6c6,285$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.56828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes8c6,244$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes3c5,546$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes4c5,502$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3827739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ee…5345backed Yes9c5,397$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.364060%24 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Yes6c5,369$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes6c5,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes4c5,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c4,968$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes5c4,965$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4423731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes2c4,525$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2652750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes10c4,074$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.871,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes7c3,790$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,620$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.442550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Yes4c3,416$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes9c3,370$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017330.1%22 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c3,362$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.682,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes8c3,336$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.935639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Yes8c3,238$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd6…9011backed Yes4c3,185$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3160%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes8c3,007$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3912033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes7c2,973$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.029013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes3c2,727$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c14…5269backed Yes1c2,709$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes5c2,708$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes7c2,700$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.513050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52fa…8ffbbacked Yes1c2,629$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes9c2,624$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.228710.3%9 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes8c2,595$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Yes3c2,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes7c2,400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.62814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b13…03b8backed Yes1c2,230$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes7c2,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes10c2,182$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9853043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…6520backed Yes1c2,171$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes8c2,000$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7626541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes6c2,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0126921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes6c2,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11870%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes3c1,956$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Yes5c1,914$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes3c1,894$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0280%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7adb…cbe2backed Yes1c1,866$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Yes4c1,859$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.624931.3%78 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…07c6backed Yes1c1,848$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7d…b30ebacked Yes8c1,796$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes7c1,792$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.11170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e0…3972backed Yes1c1,788$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes7c1,779$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.76329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2074…fe64backed Yes1c1,764$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Yes4c1,738$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.145022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c1,710$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.531163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Yes5c1,664$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ac…cbaebacked Yes2c1,649$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Yes4c1,648$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes7c1,600$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.776844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ca…e5a5backed Yes2c1,593$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2667…74cfbacked Yes8c1,500$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.06825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes4c1,500$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes9c1,469$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2175046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…8e69backed Yes6c1,464$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa108…abd3backed Yes4c1,463$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-36.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ce…ac56backed Yes1c1,432$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes3c1,424$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes7c1,424$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.28150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5f…1cf7backed Yes1c1,419$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda2…255dbacked Yes1c1,369$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes9c1,278$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4610348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…9f7bbacked Yes8c1,255$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf691…9877backed Yes1c1,218$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Yes2c1,217$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e2…50e2backed Yes1c1,210$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80c…45ddbacked Yes1c1,210$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes9c1,159$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6aa…ea6dbacked Yes1c1,137$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1081…8216backed Yes4c1,132$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f9…f48dbacked Yes1c1,116$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…d1aebacked Yes1c1,103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c2…1079backed Yes1c1,087$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62f…c9f9backed Yes1c1,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes8c1,071$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6766…b923backed Yes4c1,066$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick6cpaid+105.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes2c1,060$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0149…c177backed Yes1c1,057$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes3c1,038$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304025%10 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9705…6844backed Yes1c1,031$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246a…5306backed Yes1c1,029$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60d…d670backed Yes1c1,015$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.