Euroleague · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd92aa403a426542752bfe9042bb98b2c7a148e66ba7fcf2903f9480dc84c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 78c | 4,309$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 3,313$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Yes | 17c | 1,825$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,304$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…dda7backed Yes | 22c | 1,278$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…cdcabacked Yes | 25c | 926.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Yes | 25c | 725.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 12c | 600.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…a0c7backed No | 78c | 555.37$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 485.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 21c | 472.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes | 26c | 388.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…a385backed Yes | 26c | 384.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 379.01$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 366.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 17c | 355$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4679backed Yes | 26c | 306.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 274.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 264.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 253.69$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 80c | 247.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…9498backed Yes | 24c | 239.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 77c | 224.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…51c7backed Yes | 26c | 204.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…8592backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes | 35c | 195.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…93f5backed Yes | 29c | 187.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…cd99backed Yes | 23c | 168.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…39a4backed Yes | 20c | 153.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…1bbabacked Yes | 23c | 148.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 17c | 147.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 145.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…d4b2backed Yes | 20c | 143$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 141.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…e8b7backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 21c | 125.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Yes | 24c | 123.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 115.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…6011backed Yes | 44c | 101.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…247ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Yes | 22c | 97.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…25a7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…8a26backed Yes | 17c | 89.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…9a20backed Yes | 15c | 88.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed No | 77c | 88.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d07…ba28backed Yes | 29c | 87.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 84.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…23c9backed Yes | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes | 61c | 81.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…e6efbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…8205backed Yes | 14c | 73.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…54debacked Yes | 33c | 70.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…7631backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…12d9backed Yes | 46c | 62.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…2868backed Yes | 22c | 62.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 62.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…79bfbacked Yes | 18c | 61.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…c86dbacked Yes | 49c | 60.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 69c | 57.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed Yes | 21c | 57.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 57.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 56.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…b91ebacked Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 46.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…beb1backed Yes | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?Yes won
- Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Zalgiris Kaunas win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.