TailMyPicks
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes77c16,400$12,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e5…6199backed Yes60c10,307$6,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.271844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No21c8,902$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No33c7,085$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.092259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No52c6,301$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.159136.3%33 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No26c3,893$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb913…e52fbacked Yes47c3,511$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No38c2,727$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No29c2,088$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No34c2,081$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…e9ddbacked Yes78c1,708$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed No40c1,616$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes75c1,460$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.69756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No32c1,352$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.52937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes44c1,135$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7810663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Yes79c623.59$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…fee0backed Yes52c618.74$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5dd…dda7backed No22c589.8$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed No23c574.81$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed No22c535$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No30c528.01$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No22c481.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No21c415.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No23c362.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b0…c15cbacked Yes46c333.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No40c331.26$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed No28c330$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No40c324.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked Yes70c283.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No32c283.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc943…c591backed Yes50c200.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes53c198.72$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4f…a335backed Yes78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b89…25a7backed No22c180.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No48c174.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No22c174.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked No26c169.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba92…2196backed No68c165.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes69c160$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No39c159.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No50c152.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Yes66c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No21c145.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…2b23backed Yes73c145.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Yes34c141.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.492564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d01…211cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d9…e3f8backed Yes47c124.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No21c113$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No23c109.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No22c105.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63d…23c5backed Yes51c100.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5642…23c9backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No16c94.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48534.1%29 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No28c84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No49c79.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.13366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…76f2backed Yes79c75.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x740b…647abacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Yes79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268a…060fbacked Yes38c73.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4224…31fbbacked Yes68c72.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No51c61.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…864cbacked No45c59.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…ab51backed Yes74c59.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No25c56.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No35c53.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.585646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…4f4ebacked Yes43c50.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d82…3851backed No24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246a…19b8backed Yes80c49.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x728d…9964backed Yes40c49.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ca8…7c13backed Yes39c49.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.14666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286f…82a5backed Yes39c49.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No54c48.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89e…55cdbacked No54c44.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c41.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…f131backed Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe3…2625backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c38.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.045844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…68cdbacked Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fb…214bbacked No54c33.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78f…cf9bbacked No54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes69c30.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No37c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.244431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71df…5e24backed Yes63c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab6…d4b2backed Yes49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa49backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Yes71c22.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes64c22.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed72…14f8backed Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…9a9fbacked No50c20.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.