Euroleague · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b3e206d25e24a086d34026b044a1d480abf62f38d53b469b9ba9ef71a14ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb291…cdcabacked Yes | 20c | 1,076$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 79c | 1,069$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 22c | 932.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 599.17$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 11c | 471.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 22c | 433.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…2bf0backed Yes | 9c | 399.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes | 19c | 305.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…f7cfbacked Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…cd99backed Yes | 18c | 258.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…f896backed Yes | 22c | 250.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…03e0backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 15c | 203.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 16c | 188.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 162.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…b524backed Yes | 27c | 127.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 79c | 116.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 12c | 107.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 97.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…6e0dbacked Yes | 21c | 97.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…392bbacked Yes | 23c | 87.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…d426backed Yes | 17c | 85.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…8592backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…d4b2backed Yes | 21c | 72.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…ce86backed Yes | 22c | 67.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 62c | 53.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…f0b4backed Yes | 46c | 39.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…e485backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 72c | 25.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 80c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…7436backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?this page
- Will Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?Yes won
- Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
- Will Zalgiris Kaunas win the 2025-26 Euroleague?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.