TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad94…85b1backed No21c70,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No21c57,647$12,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,105.834843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes79c47,133$37,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,998.0113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No22c38,344$8,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,435.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c34,519$27,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,320.6444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes79c33,085$26,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes79c31,249$24,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,607.0384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked No21c25,303$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No21c20,160$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c16,943$13,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.1719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No21c14,354$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.245632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes78c12,500$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes78c11,509$9,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No20c8,295$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes80c6,251$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes79c6,124$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.7676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No22c6,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c5,828$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes80c5,767$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.463852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No22c5,700$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.991513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8d3…87bcbacked No21c5,644$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1004427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes75c3,677$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.1552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No22c3,557$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.482725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes58c3,446$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.814337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No22c3,279$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked No23c3,014$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No21c2,553$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4608946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yes79c1,924$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.914852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.73475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No23c1,820$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes79c1,794$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes73c1,782$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes78c1,769$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No20c1,680$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9320050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes79c1,372$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes78c1,286$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.92420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed Yes80c1,249$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c1,093$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No36c1,082$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.546219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.139668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes79c925.62$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.74067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes78c897.96$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.471,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes78c836.37$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1931849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed Yes79c835.39$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes78c805.49$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1674…93c0backed No3c596.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…1457backed Yes57c595.86$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes78c549.26$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.578949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No25c517.83$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4642844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No21c510.45$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes79c510.13$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.335100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedba…b6a4backed Yes78c493$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed No22c481.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No21c470$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.711130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes80c447.16$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes77c396.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.133055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked No23c390$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.32437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes79c385.41$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No21c375$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55f5…01b0backed No23c374$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No22c356.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.212560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c332.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.822,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No6c327.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.181741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.514575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes75c320.4$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes64c310$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.92250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No20c280.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.928636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes55c272.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990d…e328backed Yes79c260$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No21c256.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8111843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162045%9 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes79c253$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes60c251.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.510539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Yes73c233.87$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.