TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked No51c9,724$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+134.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c7,622$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.872,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes49c6,589$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.091353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No45c5,490$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.491216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed No49c4,400$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No44c3,280$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd08…ee64backed Yes77c2,608$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c2,026$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.517,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9425…f025backed Yes44c1,971$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes15c1,851$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4237641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes37c1,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84047325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes57c1,108$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.754351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No49c915.7$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.531,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c897$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4439637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No55c896.21$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4722542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c720.76$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.511,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2844…5aa1backed Yes16c637.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c607.86$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3963849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No42c600$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes51c574.15$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No59c571.25$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.118356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Yes33c570.32$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No59c498.51$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5644768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes32c457$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2413426.1%35 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c413.78$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.95,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No45c299.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.435639.3%22 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Yes46c297.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed No26c274.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+225.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No25c199.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.984841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005520%11 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No47c193.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2918143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes75c185.61$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.21988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No30c164.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.186960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes16c156.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No49c154.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.316142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11121256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes30c148.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes68c146.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes75c144.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.12250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No46c139.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.157545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes76c131$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.321044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes53c116.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a4…9206backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes50c99.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015361.4%94 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes74c96.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2513959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No50c95.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0716953.8%91 W · 78 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No38c88.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No36c83.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8489258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.117141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes76c66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.165160.8%31 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…4b19backed Yes76c63.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Yes51c58.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0749046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes44c56.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…d7a3backed Yes75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222054.1%119 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010817.6%19 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255863.8%37 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd861…931abacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.416248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No39c38.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.655446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes51c38.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4412530.4%38 W · 87 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010439.4%41 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Yes76c35.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No35c33.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes38c27.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5627856.1%156 W · 122 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1384…d37dbacked No53c26.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked Yes49c26.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes56c25.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed No51c25.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes50c25.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…e20cbacked Yes50c25.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked No53c23.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.