Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcb860177f93377a6e15864c092ee504f18ca8b8510dabe640fc1d892247d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 24c | 7,513$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 5,292$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 76c | 4,751$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,680$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,946$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,380$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 1,379$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.54 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 38c | 1,310$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 24c | 840$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 609$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 25c | 605.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 535.37$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 379$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 75c | 269.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 252.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 39c | 205.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 36c | 203.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 177.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed Yes | 24c | 130.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 117.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 115.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 77c | 109.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 29c | 105.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 34c | 103.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…9914backed Yes | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 64.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 58.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 76c | 51.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…9ba7backed Yes | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 33.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.