TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa76e…e20c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.8
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.71
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.66
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.52
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$3.3
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.37
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.