Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa6d2d73ae4b23dec042e9c6245a64077beb74c8b2847eb680d0a86679efeee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 15,877$6,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,263.64 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 38c | 7,868$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,461$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.28 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 80c | 2,050$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 29c | 1,900$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,821$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.23 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 574.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 537.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 22c | 462.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 61c | 351.07$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 284.84$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 188.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 179.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 149.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 127.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 127.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 116.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 61c | 109.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed No | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed Yes | 21c | 53.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 32.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Yes | 40c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 80c | 28.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 72c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…05b7backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…8051backed No | 80c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…e20cbacked No | 80c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked No | 80c | 14.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…4386backed No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.