TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb875…68a8backed No74c4,691$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.511973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c3,610$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes35c3,329$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes40c3,000$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c1,497$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes38c948.35$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c918$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No75c876.8$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c862.68$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.471,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c656.9$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1746119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes27c605.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.19535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c597.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.711,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No75c580$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c551.34$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No74c399.96$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c364.82$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes17c303.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4326040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes17c294.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No67c220$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes23c198$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes31c180.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5670%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes36c173.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c109.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4723153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92d3…17adbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes26c105.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes35c101.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes25c91.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.849767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes26c83.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.754742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes30c60.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c59.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ed…6cdabacked Yes26c57.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b09…e4c2backed Yes37c54.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…02b7backed Yes25c54.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bfc…1869backed Yes26c53.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2aa…7f1abacked Yes25c47.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1384…d37dbacked Yes25c47.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.7wins-0.43per pick61cpaid-65.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c46.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.097252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No70c44.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4418360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x027b…def1backed Yes26c43.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed Yes25c43.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes33c42.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No73c39.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcee…efd3backed Yes26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No74c35.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3535037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes34c34.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+71.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf00f…28b4backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes46c23.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.445529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No70c21.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…ad82backed No75c19.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed No76c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d1…4b1dbacked No76c19.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd03…ea96backed No76c19.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de4…b2f8backed No76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fc…0469backed No75c18.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…e20cbacked No76c18.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked No64c17.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…c03dbacked No76c16.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb578…ea1abacked No75c16.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.081353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f38…c357backed No76c16.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…c78ebacked No75c14.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbacb…8777backed No76c14.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a4…d49ebacked No75c14.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x690a…fcc9backed No75c14.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed No71c14.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…3d3ebacked No76c14.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…0708backed No75c13.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4179…0944backed No75c13.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaff…e10fbacked No76c13.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…4919backed No76c13.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked No76c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.