World Politics · resolved market
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a5e4af2680a500a64ffdffa33df25952cca9286824947f4e5465f8bc4a56e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ef7…3d8bbacked No | 3c | 15,456$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…1c9abacked No | 2c | 13,592$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…ba10backed No | 3c | 13,357$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 3c | 12,876$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.62 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 3c | 12,746$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.51 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 11,808$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed No | 1c | 10,570$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 3c | 9,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 8c | 7,614$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.36 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 7,529$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…3477backed No | 2c | 7,327$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 5c | 7,259$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…bb83backed No | 3c | 5,970$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 5c | 4,464$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e6…a55abacked No | 3c | 3,222$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…388bbacked No | 2c | 2,818$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…a6f1backed No | 2c | 2,723$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 4c | 2,611$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…2ebcbacked No | 1c | 2,138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed No | 3c | 1,929$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…5857backed No | 2c | 1,909$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…06aabacked No | 4c | 1,879$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…673abacked No | 2c | 1,828$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…1210backed No | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 4c | 1,201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…4a08backed No | 4c | 1,121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fe…08d5backed No | 2c | 1,001$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 947.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…d80fbacked No | 3c | 882.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…92c7backed No | 2c | 876$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d7…9a36backed No | 3c | 859.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…2129backed No | 3c | 749$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 6c | 735.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…2806backed No | 3c | 727.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…5814backed No | 4c | 712.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 4c | 693.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…37febacked No | 1c | 673.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…088fbacked No | 3c | 564.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…5017backed No | 2c | 549.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked No | 4c | 499.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…f486backed No | 3c | 496.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…3516backed No | 3c | 491.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e6…7e09backed No | 4c | 485.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…4961backed No | 3c | 485.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 477.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 7c | 465.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…745bbacked No | 3c | 458.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…5aa5backed No | 3c | 453$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed No | 3c | 449.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…e20cbacked No | 3c | 447.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…52f5backed No | 3c | 432.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…8749backed No | 4c | 421.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…6353backed No | 2c | 418.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…6cdabacked No | 3c | 413.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…b2f8backed No | 3c | 387.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…e10fbacked No | 4c | 386.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…bff1backed No | 3c | 378.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a9…79f0backed No | 3c | 369$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…6b6bbacked No | 4c | 339.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…0c12backed No | 3c | 333.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…29b1backed No | 3c | 330.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…22bfbacked No | 3c | 330.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…8160backed No | 3c | 326.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…701ebacked No | 3c | 323.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…deabbacked No | 3c | 323.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…9796backed No | 3c | 305.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…5085backed No | 4c | 288.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…0c62backed No | 4c | 256.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…73a2backed No | 4c | 248.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 16c | 223.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 134.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?this page
- Will Adriatik Lapaj be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Agron Shehaj be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Arlind Qori be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Ilir Meta be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.