World Politics · resolved market
Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94112974702bbeaf2cef8f350dd9cc694c00663efa113bc8ab4f2fcb8e3a639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd53e…06aabacked Yes | 3c | 22,611$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 3c | 14,946$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 9,193$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.39 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…91d7backed Yes | 1c | 8,905$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 3c | 7,947$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…7220backed Yes | 3c | 5,794$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…cb5ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,749$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…56d4backed Yes | 3c | 3,423$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 3c | 2,586$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…ab3abacked Yes | 3c | 2,364$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc9…9ca5backed Yes | 2c | 2,188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…1bf2backed Yes | 1c | 2,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 1,740$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,553$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…3d8bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,253$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,188$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…d025backed Yes | 1c | 1,091$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…53dbbacked Yes | 3c | 915.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 7c | 887.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…d5fcbacked Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 864.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…0673backed Yes | 3c | 863.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…68b5backed Yes | 2c | 815.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…857ebacked Yes | 4c | 787.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…38a7backed Yes | 3c | 777.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…106ebacked Yes | 3c | 758.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dab…1133backed Yes | 2c | 663.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…5085backed Yes | 3c | 656.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…73a2backed Yes | 2c | 646.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…7953backed Yes | 3c | 506.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 499.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…5982backed Yes | 3c | 489.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…e4b0backed Yes | 3c | 475.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…6e1bbacked Yes | 3c | 463.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…29b1backed Yes | 2c | 463.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…2b98backed Yes | 3c | 448.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…5814backed Yes | 3c | 435.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1e…5bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 422.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…1874backed Yes | 3c | 419$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…0886backed Yes | 3c | 415.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…2ed5backed Yes | 3c | 415.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…9db9backed Yes | 3c | 405.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…424cbacked Yes | 3c | 391$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…736abacked Yes | 10c | 375$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 7c | 330.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…3b17backed Yes | 4c | 329.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…23c5backed Yes | 4c | 320.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…68fabacked Yes | 3c | 312.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…400dbacked Yes | 3c | 311.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…6dadbacked Yes | 4c | 286$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e8b3backed Yes | 4c | 276.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…bbb9backed Yes | 4c | 257.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…ba10backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 188$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 14c | 185.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?this page
- Will Adriatik Lapaj be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Agron Shehaj be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Arlind Qori be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes won
- Will Ilir Meta be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.