TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$712,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$733,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes67c452,439$302,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,145.862356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No34c189,532$64,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,536.143423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No31c81,149$25,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,202.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c80,700$27,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,43862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes69c40,622$28,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,592.683756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No31c26,530$8,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,224.32045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c16,307$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.491,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed No0c15,399$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No31c15,217$4,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,717.274551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No32c13,821$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.3235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No31c10,149$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.311656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No31c8,716$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.933050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No31c8,420$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.581838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No31c8,340$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No29c8,243$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No31c6,982$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.422536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.993420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No33c5,600$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.9880%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c5,469$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.111,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No34c5,309$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.2923151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c5,075$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.8937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No29c4,775$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.7287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes69c3,825$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No33c3,061$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0102356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9304057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No32c2,654$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.6215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes67c2,532$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.399858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8009355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No31c2,294$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.142835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c2,250$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c2,053$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9911355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No22c1,857$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.232524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No20c1,829$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes67c1,822$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes68c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No34c1,695$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No34c1,544$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.969553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Yes75c1,500$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.284546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No32c1,422$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No33c1,398$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.234362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No33c1,107$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c1,096$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes67c1,093$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…423abacked No13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3107549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes68c944.12$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No39c929.84$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.316942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Yes67c924.5$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes68c917.62$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8919055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No32c906.7$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.145942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes66c906$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No32c889.14$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.824940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed No32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes64c782.49$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.055255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No20c630$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No41c614$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1826660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No19c597.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c555$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No34c540$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.63951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked No31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No34c469.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.697946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes64c463.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.756648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No34c420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No34c420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No34c420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.87163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No23c402.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1285052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed No7c386$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No34c340$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No12c337.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8912343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No34c330$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No34c330$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…e4ecbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…de16backed No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No34c311.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.777926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.