South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5d68c34e30292c45821959053bc6a2b7c3a083e39247d52177dd681024d4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 5,977$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.58 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 4,995$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 4,589$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.88 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 4,157$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 2,998$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 67c | 2,898$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 40c | 2,184$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 11c | 2,156$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 28c | 2,085$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.93 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 31c | 1,537$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.32 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 924.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 900$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 861.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 758.52$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 726.64$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.56 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 55c | 461.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 45c | 416.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 14c | 231.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 176.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 54c | 116.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 12c | 115.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 47c | 109.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 33c | 72.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 68.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed No | 49c | 41.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 46c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed No | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 41c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…2554backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…fdeabacked No | 49c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked Yes | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…4035backed Yes | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…2262backed Yes | 54c | 24.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…5cacbacked No | 47c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…d643backed No | 47c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 48c | 23.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…24b9backed No | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…bac1backed No | 49c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed Yes | 54c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…e20cbacked Yes | 53c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…4b9fbacked Yes | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.