Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9a474b7b868249c14b173627b530d84f8de8a67494df79fb6c23a2a3b33647c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,619$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.89 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,475$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 1,235$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 79c | 912.35$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 425.12$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 79c | 356.35$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 11c | 306$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 305.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 198.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Over | 78c | 187.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 74.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…e20cbacked Under | 26c | 55.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…da0fbacked Under | 26c | 48.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 24c | 47.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 74c | 31.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Over | 78c | 30.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 25.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…da1cbacked Over | 75c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…400dbacked Over | 76c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…8051backed Over | 75c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…bdbabacked Over | 76c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cd…6307backed Over | 75c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…35ccbacked Over | 76c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 75c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.