Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1566c77ffb058652f8b193a6f6b3289a3a25347138a510df9a076097af9d3642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof Olympique de Marseille, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Angers SCO | 66c | 1,527$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique de Marseille | 33c | 1,448$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 592.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Angers SCO | 64c | 329.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 297.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Angers SCO | 64c | 267.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 215$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Angers SCO | 68c | 194.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 137.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Angers SCO | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Angers SCO | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Angers SCO | 65c | 69.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Angers SCO | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d07…c592backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 29.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Angers SCO | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f10…ad5dbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.