Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10801e3dd69147c091d1355502c3d395881fbfef97e424136630afd56813a1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,956$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 45c | 4,046$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.68 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 45c | 454$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…30febacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…ade5backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 250.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 54c | 212.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 173.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 169.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 54c | 96.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 54c | 47.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 68c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.