TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$834,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$985,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $834,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No23c215,000$49,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,450.013429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes77c138,775$107,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,601.3633945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c71,868$55,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,520.1475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No22c44,616$9,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,815.543534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c38,823$9,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,188.754228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No23c26,000$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.993132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c5…457fbacked Yes79c20,785$16,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No23c18,423$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.551,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes77c17,059$13,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,922.3710361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked No0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes78c12,050$9,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…5b61backed Yes80c11,927$9,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c9,286$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.711,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No35c7,371$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.842540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf84…cba9backed No20c6,634$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes76c5,975$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.5653645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes66c5,820$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.09875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No20c5,813$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes37c5,422$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.1713139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes76c5,143$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.6869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes78c5,139$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.445851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c4,663$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.7376234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes77c4,097$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3117251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes74c4,049$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.642290.9%20 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes37c4,033$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.7623842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…895bbacked Yes77c3,794$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c3,488$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.643,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes78c3,438$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.644772.3%34 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes78c3,347$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No10c3,179$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5722332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes66c3,039$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.411275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes65c3,026$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303520%7 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c2,939$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.316060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No22c2,899$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.674341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No24c2,729$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6554740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…6632backed Yes74c2,675$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes31c2,642$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.272365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes59c2,556$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.562520%5 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57530054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No23c2,500$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.9135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes63c2,288$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.515250%26 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No16c2,257$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9428241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Yes36c2,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes36c2,006$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.174643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.962356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes65c1,853$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.385100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No23c1,820$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.62035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes35c1,802$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.2811630.2%35 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes77c1,639$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes77c1,600$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes38c1,589$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.673026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc900…4557backed Yes65c1,522$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4054100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33027726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes62c1,500$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56515847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Yes64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed No79c1,488$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.87366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes79c1,438$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes77c1,429$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.576159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes55c1,356$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.713050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…c5fcbacked Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No21c1,260$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes73c1,258$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5310641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No21c1,250$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Yes66c1,244$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No23c1,170$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes44c1,144$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.871478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+84.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No23c1,113$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.05728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+87%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No25c1,098$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.859951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes78c1,054$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.971776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes23c1,043$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.482552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes51c981.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.964129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes32c960$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed No24c888.54$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+201%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No21c781.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0963645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes78c775.17$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.54988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes79c743.91$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes77c728.37$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1618746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No20c704$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes72c700$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1933066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No40c683.73$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes67c674$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.788251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes75c672$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed No73c670.99$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.04520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick70cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1bc…9d13backed Yes65c661.23$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.351492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick68cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.352487.5%21 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+36%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.