Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x411dacd218f44d527ce936da726ee11732924dd4d9ebd4e0ef2c5d057488a8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomljanovicof Tomljanovic, Erjavec
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 9,526$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.04 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Erjavec | 43c | 5,280$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.4 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Erjavec | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Erjavec | 45c | 2,193$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.33 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Erjavec | 44c | 1,786$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.92 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Tomljanovic | 54c | 1,121$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Erjavec | 43c | 700.36$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Tomljanovic | 33c | 699.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.99 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Erjavec | 43c | 600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Erjavec | 54c | 550.39$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tomljanovic | 33c | 529.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.87 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Erjavec | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Erjavec | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Erjavec | 67c | 430.08$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Tomljanovic | 33c | 320$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Erjavec | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Erjavec | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Erjavec | 67c | 280$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Tomljanovic | 67c | 268.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Tomljanovic | 58c | 223$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Erjavec | 43c | 217.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Erjavec | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Erjavec | 43c | 174.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Erjavec | 43c | 151.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Tomljanovic | 40c | 144.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Tomljanovic | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Erjavec | 47c | 81.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Erjavec | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tomljanovic | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Erjavec | 43c | 68.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Erjavec | 43c | 68.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tomljanovic | 50c | 65.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tomljanovic | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tomljanovic | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Erjavec | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Erjavec | 43c | 52.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Erjavec | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tomljanovic | 58c | 49.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Erjavec | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e7…24fcbacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Erjavec | 51c | 44.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Erjavec | 43c | 41.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Erjavec | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tomljanovic | 53c | 34.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Erjavec | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Erjavec | 44c | 34.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Erjavec | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Erjavec | 51c | 28.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Erjavec | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Erjavec | 40c | 25.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Tomljanovic | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5)this page
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika ErjavecAjla Tomljanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.