Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312d43a66f4126e9e29039fcf23802260acf432bbe4014c35a5065e64667865b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 32c | 17,537$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.11 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 68c | 7,916$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.1 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 68c | 4,803$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.1 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 70c | 3,816$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.89 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 30c | 3,808$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.84 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 13c | 3,144$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 10c | 2,566$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,682$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,103$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 10c | 1,011$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 480$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 475$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 75c | 446.84$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 408.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…80b3backed No | 6c | 370.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 357.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 31c | 355.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 22c | 348.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 289.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 68c | 285.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 14c | 270.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 76c | 257.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 247.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 16c | 197.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 13c | 166.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 69c | 161.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 70c | 111.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 74c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 71c | 104.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 30c | 102.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 62.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 70c | 61.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Yes | 69c | 49.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 43.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01a…1517backed Yes | 74c | 40.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 72c | 40.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Yes | 75c | 34.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Yes | 69c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 68c | 22.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 69c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.