Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0e8005bb773690bae73e8391d552bad8bfe1fe32a01725aa82b22b59ae0ec01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Partizan | 21c | 1,370$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 1,314$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Partizan | 25c | 1,185$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 77c | 1,182$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Partizan | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 77c | 790.09$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Partizan | 16c | 429.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 363$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Partizan | 20c | 272.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Partizan | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Partizan | 17c | 197.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Partizan | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Partizan | 9c | 159.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Partizan | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Partizan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Partizan | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Partizan | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Partizan | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Partizan | 22c | 74.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Partizan | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked Partizan | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Partizan | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Olimpia Milano | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Olimpia Milano | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Olimpia Milano | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Olimpia Milano | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Olimpia Milano | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.