Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c03cf0112460d15f4ba6248c969d011d3b5067417804ff235b19f174783f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof FC Bayern Munchen, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 6,482$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.94 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Barcelona | 78c | 6,187$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Barcelona | 48c | 3,043$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.93 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 2,573$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 55c | 2,460$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.8 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 2,315$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Barcelona | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Barcelona | 48c | 2,073$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Barcelona | 48c | 1,459$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 1,338$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Barcelona | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 1,118$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelona | 44c | 978.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.62 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 857.38$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barcelona | 65c | 849.64$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Barcelona | 75c | 746$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed FC Bayern Munchen | 39c | 527.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Barcelona | 66c | 500$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Barcelona | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 490.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 470.7$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 460.09$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Barcelona | 48c | 381.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 351.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 337.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 315.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 308$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barcelona | 75c | 288$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 268.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 169.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Barcelona | 79c | 169.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Barcelona | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Barcelona | 45c | 120.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Barcelona | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Barcelona | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 47c | 83.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…bdbdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 39c | 76.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barcelona | 48c | 75.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Barcelona | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Barcelona | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 61.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…03c0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb179…8cf4backed Barcelona | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 44.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Barcelona | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 39.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Barcelona | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Barcelona | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…d768backed Barcelona | 49c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…30f6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 64c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.