TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Finlandof Slovakia, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$962,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$984,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Finland75c424,650$318,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,162.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Finland75c222,237$166,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,982.892737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Slovakia25c182,240$45,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,560714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-80.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Slovakia25c170,314$42,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,578.540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Slovakia25c140,213$35,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,557.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Slovakia25c30,156$7,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,53920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Slovakia26c19,408$5,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Slovakia26c19,185$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Slovakia25c18,888$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,722812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3d…36b6backed Slovakia5c15,674$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Slovakia26c15,250$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.49650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed Slovakia26c13,821$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Slovakia25c13,812$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Slovakia26c13,690$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Finland74c13,000$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3801457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Slovakia10c10,381$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.851921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Slovakia25c9,065$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Slovakia25c8,799$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.281428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf17e…0200backed Slovakia26c8,419$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Slovakia5c8,041$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.12437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Slovakia26c7,680$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Finland76c7,410$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.931428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Slovakia26c7,406$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Finland75c7,210$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.4666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Finland76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Slovakia23c6,572$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Finland74c6,509$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Finland75c5,555$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Finland72c5,306$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.681735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Slovakia25c5,201$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Slovakia17c5,016$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.932532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Finland75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Slovakia26c4,436$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Slovakia25c4,020$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Finland75c4,013$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Finland74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Slovakia26c3,750$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Slovakia28c3,578$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Slovakia1c3,512$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+596.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Slovakia20c3,025$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.33293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-92.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Slovakia27c3,025$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Finland74c2,900$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Finland74c2,111$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.321050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Slovakia19c2,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Slovakia26c2,048$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Slovakia26c2,010$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Slovakia25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Finland74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…ae75backed Slovakia26c1,922$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Slovakia6c1,857$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9232…41efbacked Slovakia14c1,691$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Finland80c1,671$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Slovakia26c1,628$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137a…636dbacked Slovakia29c1,570$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Slovakia26c1,539$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Slovakia25c1,539$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.671136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Slovakia25c1,505$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.18825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Slovakia26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905516.4%9 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa2…9bffbacked Slovakia22c1,479$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Slovakia26c1,474$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.941435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Slovakia26c1,357$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Finland76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Slovakia26c1,281$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Finland74c1,160$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8879…b58fbacked Slovakia20c1,103$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0809…b2f4backed Finland75c1,083$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Slovakia24c1,059$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Finland74c1,023$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Slovakia25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Finland75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Finland75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Finland75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe616…ef15backed Slovakia21c978.87$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Finland73c954.73$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.781921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Slovakia25c940$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Slovakia12c900$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Slovakia25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked Slovakia26c798.47$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Slovakia25c790.64$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Slovakia27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Slovakia22c735.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Finland75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Slovakia25c682$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce4…94f5backed Finland76c679.87$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Slovakia24c670$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85d…6d06backed Slovakia15c666.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Slovakia23c664.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…bbb1backed Slovakia26c653.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Finland74c649.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Slovakia26c623.84$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Slovakia25c607.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.863616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Finland75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Finland75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Slovakia17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-63.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Slovakia13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…1d05backed Slovakia13c599.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda7a…d321backed Finland75c558.21$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.211275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Slovakia18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Slovakia27c548.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.980%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Slovakia6c542.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.