TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahce

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Bayern Munchenof FC Bayern Munchen, Fenerbahce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b1e…65c1backed Fenerbahce50c7,602$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.312060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Fenerbahce3c7,229$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.325642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen34c6,907$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.3936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Fenerbahce67c6,435$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Fenerbahce31c4,034$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.221330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked FC Bayern Munchen32c4,031$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.4212040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed FC Bayern Munchen34c3,770$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.233345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Fenerbahce24c3,073$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FC Bayern Munchen38c2,893$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.347462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen56c2,818$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.4954251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Fenerbahce63c2,325$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahce66c2,256$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.4412042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed FC Bayern Munchen71c2,080$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.523053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Fenerbahce11c1,947$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.428611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed FC Bayern Munchen35c1,697$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.9916235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed FC Bayern Munchen37c1,679$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.139946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahce6c1,677$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FC Bayern Munchen79c1,641$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1226544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Fenerbahce69c1,509$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed FC Bayern Munchen66c1,418$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Fenerbahce68c1,136$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FC Bayern Munchen69c1,124$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.044740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked FC Bayern Munchen37c1,027$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.88453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Fenerbahce53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FC Bayern Munchen35c999.18$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.183740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen36c993.45$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.978644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed FC Bayern Munchen77c955.25$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.449551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked FC Bayern Munchen35c812.58$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.774946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Fenerbahce70c649.2$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.193040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Fenerbahce67c601.74$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.221850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed FC Bayern Munchen33c600.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.425541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed FC Bayern Munchen33c598.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.186142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7db…a4e8backed Fenerbahce2c574.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6898…4f23backed Fenerbahce21c573.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fenerbahce37c548.74$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fenerbahce63c527.25$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1724430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…7518backed Fenerbahce69c500$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fenerbahce68c500$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3391428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Fenerbahce66c494.33$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Fenerbahce66c487.62$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.481216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb5…4f02backed Fenerbahce10c464.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fenerbahce68c443.95$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c70…2523backed Fenerbahce70c423.15$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.532272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Fenerbahce71c388$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.242352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Fenerbahce68c384.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Fenerbahce47c376.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2110736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed FC Bayern Munchen58c357.28$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.63764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed FC Bayern Munchen33c353.09$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.012352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern Munchen34c343.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.398845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Fenerbahce63c293.34$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.822231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fenerbahce42c259.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Fenerbahce38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.283250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fenerbahce14c247.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0221535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Fenerbahce47c237.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.344634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Fenerbahce45c236.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed FC Bayern Munchen31c233.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.457247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Fenerbahce71c230.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fenerbahce69c222.12$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce68c205.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4213147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed FC Bayern Munchen70c205.17$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed FC Bayern Munchen53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Fenerbahce68c192.74$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.068247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Fenerbahce25c187$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Fenerbahce53c183.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed FC Bayern Munchen34c178.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Fenerbahce41c174.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3514542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Fenerbahce50c168.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.925271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c52…6431backed Fenerbahce38c166.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.62040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Fenerbahce68c159.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fenerbahce66c159$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.947741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked FC Bayern Munchen65c150.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Fenerbahce16c150.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.815628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Fenerbahce65c149.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Fenerbahce68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Fenerbahce32c140.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ccc…62ebbacked Fenerbahce69c136.54$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fenerbahce67c134$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1213548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Fenerbahce68c133.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fenerbahce35c133.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5725517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1212…1f64backed Fenerbahce65c133.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Fenerbahce64c129.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8774…5fe7backed Fenerbahce68c129.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Fenerbahce40c128.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed Fenerbahce68c125.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed FC Bayern Munchen70c124.78$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Fenerbahce59c123.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed FC Bayern Munchen32c119.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Fenerbahce68c117.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Fenerbahce43c117$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce32c114.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.614438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Fenerbahce69c111.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.68862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed FC Bayern Munchen32c110.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.892857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed FC Bayern Munchen56c102.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9414447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Fenerbahce51c100.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed FC Bayern Munchen76c98.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Fenerbahce26c98.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.813432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Fenerbahce48c97.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed FC Bayern Munchen31c92.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+103.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed FC Bayern Munchen31c89.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0613751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Fenerbahce69c85.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.888936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.