Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcbc31e7ca48ccff614be77cbcd32412b26db348d7dad4a4b1ac1a28553e531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 24c | 81,903$19,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,656.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 74c | 44,701$32,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,789.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 24c | 40,180$9,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,643.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 39,828$27,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,392.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 76c | 27,316$20,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 20,693$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.01 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 76c | 16,000$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 23c | 15,000$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 14,428$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 13,097$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 3c | 12,600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 25c | 12,500$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 76c | 12,453$9,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.76 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 24c | 12,222$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.3 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 12,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.93 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 11,908$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.92 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 77c | 8,257$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.57 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 25c | 7,964$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 23c | 7,909$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 6,996$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…63d5backed No | 24c | 6,773$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 1c | 5,545$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 76c | 5,469$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.51 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…f38bbacked No | 1c | 5,037$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 76c | 4,875$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 36c | 4,519$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.22 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,634$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,500$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 58c | 3,458$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 76c | 3,400$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.31 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 3,278$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.39 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 63c | 3,173$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 2,974$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.79 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 77c | 2,857$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 24c | 2,471$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 24c | 2,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 24c | 2,093$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 24c | 2,067$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.43 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,987$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.84 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 24c | 1,965$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,764$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.8 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 57c | 1,716$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.23 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked Yes | 67c | 1,642$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 24c | 1,613$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 77c | 1,554$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 13c | 1,498$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 24c | 1,325$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 76c | 1,277$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 1,224$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 76c | 1,193$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 24c | 1,166$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,141$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 24c | 1,123$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 22c | 1,116$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.43 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 76c | 1,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 23c | 999.91$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 76c | 930$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 62c | 884.19$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 58c | 865.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…3406backed Yes | 77c | 863.19$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 76c | 815.79$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 75c | 812$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes | 77c | 781.32$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 759.2$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 73c | 734.72$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 77c | 694.66$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 687$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 681$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 63c | 664.29$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 24c | 660$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 24c | 658$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 77c | 645.71$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 24c | 611.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 76c | 598.74$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 23c | 541.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 76c | 522.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 76c | 520$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 24c | 508.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.