Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8149f3be2d6ba533ef1a638b9e2d3c5059ed3cc3c1272f20e26987f838b6882c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Barcelona, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Paris Basketball | 67c | 4,883$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.61 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Barcelona | 4c | 2,738$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 60c | 2,451$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.76 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Paris Basketball | 23c | 1,930$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paris Basketball | 78c | 1,523$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.24 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barcelona | 48c | 1,310$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.22 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Barcelona | 55c | 1,225$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 29c | 1,075$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Paris Basketball | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.05 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…4320backed Barcelona | 77c | 937.11$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Barcelona | 43c | 926.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelona | 78c | 891$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 55c | 890.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 889.3$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.98 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Barcelona | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Barcelona | 75c | 614.67$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 465.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 450$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Barcelona | 73c | 442$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paris Basketball | 25c | 441.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.71 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Barcelona | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Barcelona | 76c | 371.93$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Barcelona | 77c | 360$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Paris Basketball | 56c | 319$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 310$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Paris Basketball | 22c | 248.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Barcelona | 76c | 236.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Barcelona | 76c | 233.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball | 26c | 230.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 224.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 182.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball | 27c | 166.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 77c | 152$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Paris Basketball | 22c | 149.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Barcelona | 78c | 144.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Barcelona | 77c | 130.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Paris Basketball | 24c | 120.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Barcelona | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Paris Basketball | 23c | 100.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Barcelona | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Paris Basketball | 26c | 99.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Paris Basketball | 28c | 82.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Paris Basketball | 77c | 81.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 76.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Barcelona | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +364.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paris Basketball | 72c | 72.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Barcelona | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Barcelona | 77c | 63.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Barcelona | 77c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Barcelona | 77c | 62.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Barcelona | 43c | 50.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Barcelona | 75c | 46.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…03e0backed Barcelona | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Barcelona | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Barcelona | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Barcelona | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Barcelona | 77c | 39.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed Barcelona | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Barcelona | 76c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Barcelona | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paris Basketball | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Barcelona | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked Barcelona | 74c | 33.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…4f00backed Barcelona | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Barcelona | 75c | 24.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…75f6backed Barcelona | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Barcelona | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Barcelona | 75c | 22.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed Barcelona | 75c | 18.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Barcelona | 56c | 17.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…f135backed Barcelona | 79c | 17.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.