Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868008cc43e453aa517b66772bcfad01de6dc7791a001b0b89f090ec4c1b4c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anadolu Efes | 3c | 2,973$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 2,479$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…b9c5backed Barcelona | 74c | 1,704$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 79c | 1,368$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barcelona | 73c | 1,304$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.54 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Anadolu Efes | 20c | 1,027$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 77c | 995.76$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 825.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 812.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Barcelona | 74c | 675.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Barcelona | 75c | 671.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 667.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Barcelona | 75c | 630.71$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 530.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 398.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 390.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 377.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Anadolu Efes | 16c | 342$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 74c | 334.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Barcelona | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 312.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Anadolu Efes | 7c | 274$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 201$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Barcelona | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 199.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 185.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 156.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anadolu Efes | 21c | 120.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 119.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Barcelona | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Barcelona | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Barcelona | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 79.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Anadolu Efes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed Barcelona | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Barcelona | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 58.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked Barcelona | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Barcelona | 72c | 42.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Barcelona | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Barcelona | 76c | 32.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Barcelona | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Barcelona | 79c | 27.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Barcelona | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Barcelona | 74c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Barcelona | 75c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.