TailMyPicks

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Euroleague · resolved market

Zalgiris Kaunas vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, FC Bayern Munchen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,328 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas61c4,200$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern Munchen25c2,935$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.4421444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed FC Bayern Munchen38c2,027$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.7737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FC Bayern Munchen18c1,315$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.243336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed FC Bayern Munchen34c1,295$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.893135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c1,121$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.573455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Bayern Munchen36c1,116$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9631651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas59c1,098$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern Munchen29c913$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas70c906.69$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7654251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c808.74$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c784.14$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5331446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c765.48$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c759$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.169756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Zalgiris Kaunas67c682.79$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.678256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed FC Bayern Munchen26c681.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen25c578.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf417…40f0backed FC Bayern Munchen24c527.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen30c519$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.838644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c504.96$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.13757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked FC Bayern Munchen40c473.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.551947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c460.6$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.763450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Zalgiris Kaunas67c444$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.973775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Zalgiris Kaunas74c437.84$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Bayern Munchen39c389.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen24c368.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3727557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c367.16$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas62c325.42$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.252445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen23c325.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.218144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c298.2$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3226935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed FC Bayern Munchen34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zalgiris Kaunas63c231.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Zalgiris Kaunas71c210.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.135949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas65c204.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6124430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Zalgiris Kaunas74c198.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf479…7b34backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c198.67$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas75c193.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.481546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87eb…456ebacked FC Bayern Munchen15c189.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FC Bayern Munchen26c178.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed FC Bayern Munchen32c153.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.73933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Zalgiris Kaunas74c141.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas74c134.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8310663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed FC Bayern Munchen41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern Munchen22c121.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5925517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FC Bayern Munchen24c121$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.047462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked FC Bayern Munchen26c120.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed FC Bayern Munchen30c104.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.252454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked FC Bayern Munchen38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c70…2523backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed FC Bayern Munchen41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed FC Bayern Munchen41c96.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas63c89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Zalgiris Kaunas62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Zalgiris Kaunas63c79.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.363542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas68c75.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9212042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e2…e5f3backed Zalgiris Kaunas55c70.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed FC Bayern Munchen26c69.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.197733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed FC Bayern Munchen26c62.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Bayern Munchen28c62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3610941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…d4a6backed FC Bayern Munchen26c60.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed FC Bayern Munchen27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked FC Bayern Munchen24c57.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed FC Bayern Munchen32c51.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Zalgiris Kaunas73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.59255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Bayern Munchen40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FC Bayern Munchen28c47.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.319748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed FC Bayern Munchen36c45.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06fc…9b16backed Zalgiris Kaunas71c42.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a68…213ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas75c42.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.745100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas69c42.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed FC Bayern Munchen40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Zalgiris Kaunas62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c33.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.912653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89e…6876backed Zalgiris Kaunas74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked FC Bayern Munchen41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c32…d55fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c21.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.462860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas69c20.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3120936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108b…56b3backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4a…6570backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Zalgiris Kaunas65c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas71c15.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.633751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Zalgiris Kaunas74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5228…0923backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c13.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.