MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d4cafdd019a8429f547024f0b9790c6895ea93f3d5c2fae14ca2fc101ba538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Houston Astros, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 38,636$23,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,797.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Houston Astros | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.87 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 40c | 13,043$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.17 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 38c | 9,292$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros | 38c | 8,539$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.12 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 7,261$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.12 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 2c | 6,745$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Houston Astros | 38c | 4,839$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Houston Astros | 35c | 4,467$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.92 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Houston Astros | 6c | 4,419$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Houston Astros | 40c | 4,401$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.26 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 4,004$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.42 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,888$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 25c | 3,547$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Houston Astros | 1c | 3,194$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 12c | 2,627$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…99cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,592$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,328$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.76 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,962$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.24 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Houston Astros | 2c | 1,947$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,769$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,757$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.11 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,749$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…8fccbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,585$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,554$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,550$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,301$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,301$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,292$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Houston Astros | 15c | 1,288$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,252$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,201$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.28 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,185$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,168$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.68 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,141$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.59 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,114$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,110$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.36 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,104$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…1f48backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,069$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,052$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,044$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.74 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,031$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Houston Astros | 35c | 961$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 27c | 860.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 844.53$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Houston Astros | 3c | 840.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 822.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Houston Astros | 38c | 766.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Houston Astros | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 740.82$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 636.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 564.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 554.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 39c | 546.07$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Houston Astros | 38c | 543.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4a…3e8bbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 523.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…1f86backed Houston Astros | 2c | 519.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 512.72$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 499.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 479.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Houston Astros | 40c | 478.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.84 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 472.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Houston Astros | 39c | 470$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Houston Astros | 35c | 448.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 12c | 429.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…92babacked Houston Astros | 4c | 424.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 408.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 3c | 400.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 375.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Houston Astros | 5c | 367.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…bda3backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 364.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Houston Astros | 38c | 350.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 345.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…ba6ebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 341.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6237backed Houston Astros | 15c | 331.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Houston Astros | 9c | 303.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Houston Astros | 6c | 290.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 289.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros | 15c | 284.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 283.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 280.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.