TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0480…92ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Sergey Fominbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Rome: Marko Topo vs Cezar Cretubacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.6
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$18.04
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$23.63
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.18
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs San-Hui Shinbacked San-Hui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Santa Cruz: Pedro Sakamoto vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$25.35
Oeiras 3: Lola Radivojevic vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Kozyreva vs Julie Belgraverbacked Maria Kozyreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-61.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$15.45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78%+$15.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.